Petoskey Real Estate Sales - 1st Quarter 2011

Petoskey Real Estate Market Showing Signs of Stability

Perhaps contrary to some claims you may have read in local real estate ads, the Petoskey real estate market in the first quarter of 2011 showed little change year over year from the first quarter of 2010. This is good news, however, as the federal first-time and repeat home buyer tax credits, which expired on April 30, 2010, significantly inflated the 2010 numbers. Simply holding its own, absent Uncle Sam's fiscal largesse, can be seen as a victory for the Petoskey real estate market in the first quarter of 2011.

The number of single family residences (including Petoskey homes and condominiums) sold in the Petoskey School District in the quarter increased by one unit, from 46 in 2010 to 47 in 2011. The total dollar volume from sales of Petoskey homes and condominiums in the quarter decreased slightly, however, from $10.1 million in 2010 to $9.8 million in 2011.

The median Petoskey home price declined from $165,600 in the First Quarter of 2010 to $145,000 in the First Quarter of 2011. The average home price also declined slightly, from $219,102 in the First Quarter of 2010 to $207,824 in the First Quarter of 2011.

Petoskey Real Estate Sales Collapse

The Petoskey real estate market appears to have collapsed in the first half of 2009, following a relatively strong first half the previous year. The latest sales numbers are abysmal. One can only wonder if these latest numbers signal a market capitulation or bottom, or whether things can actually get worse from here.

The number of Petoskey homes and condominiums sold during the first half of 2009 was down only 22%, from 120 units in 2008 to 94 units in 2009. I only have unit sales data from 2002 forward, and 94 units is the smallest number in the first half of any year in the last eight years. That is the good news.

However, the dollar volume of 1st half residential sales in the Petoskey School District tanked, from $47,001,605 in 2008 to $16,510,876 in 2009, a decrease of almost 65%! This dollar volume is the lowest number recorded since 2001, which is oldest dollar volume data I have available for a first half, when $24.6 million in residential sales was reported.

The average sale price for a Petoskey home during the first half of 2009 plummeted to $175,648 from $391,680 during the first half of 2008. Perhaps more importantly, the median sales price decreased significantly, from $180,500 in 2008 to $138,000 in 2009, a decline of 23.5% year over year, and a full 30% decline from what appears to have been the market peak median sales price of $197,090 for the full year 2005.

Of the 94 Petoskey homes and condominiums sold during the first half of 2009, it appears as though at least 41, or 43.6% of the sales, were bank owned foreclosures. I know that at least some of the remaining 53 sales were short sales, where the bank accepted less than what was owed on the mortgage to avoid foreclosure proceedings. I think that I am being conservative in my estimation that a majority of the sales during the first half of 2009, or over 50% of the sales, were either bank owned foreclosures or short sales. This is truly an astonishing number. Foreclosure sales are having a significant negative impact upon Petoskey property values and it is unclear at this time if the end to the foreclosure boom is in sight.

Note: Based upon sales information obtained from the Northern Michigan Multiple Listing Service for the period from January 1, 2009 through June 30, 2009.

November Northern Michigan Real Estate Sales Horrible

Horrible Northern Michigan real estate sales numbers for the month of November, 2008 seem to mirror the macroeconomic climate. Today the Labor Department reported that U.S. nonfarm payrolls fell by over half a million last month, the worst such tally in 34 years. Who can buy a home if they don't have a job?

Sales of single family homes and condominiums in the Petoskey, Harbor Springs, Charlevoix and Boyne City real estate markets were down year over year, with 43 sales in November of 2008 compared to 50 sales in November of 2007. Total sales by dollar volume decreased by a whopping 50%, from just under $20 million ($19,990,790) in November of 2007 to just over $10 million ($10,048,450) in November of 2008. The dollar volume of Petoskey sales was only a third of what it was last year, from just under $10,350,000 in November, 2007 to $3.6 million this year.

The median home price declined from $227,100 in November of 2007 to $158,500 in November of 2008, a decline of over 30% year over year. The average days on market for homes which sold during the month of November of 2008 decreased to 210 days, from 269 days in November of 2007.

Sales of bank owned properties almost doubled, from seven to thirteen. Bank owned properties accounted for over 30% of sales during the month of November, 2008, continuing to put pressure on prices in our marketplace.

This report is based upon sales information obtained from the Northern Michigan Multiple Listing Service for the months of November, 2007 and November, 2008.

Northern Michigan Real Estate Market Conditions - October 2008

Sales of single family homes and condominiums in the Petoskey, Harbor Springs, Charlevoix and Boyne City real estate markets were down year over year, with 58 sales in October of 2008 compared to 64 sales in October of 2007. Total sales by dollar volume decreased from $23,832,500 in October of 2007 to $17,551,855 in October of 2008, a decline of over 26%. The dollar volume of Petoskey home sales alone declined almost three million dollars, or over 36%, from just under $8 million last year to just over $5 million this year.

The median home price declined from $224,500 in October of 2007 to $212,500 in October of 2008, a decline of just over 5% year over year. The average days on market for homes which sold during the month of October of 2008 increased to 222 days, from 185 days in October of 2007.

Sales of bank owned properties more than tripled, from five to eighteen. Bank owned properties accounted for almost one in three sales during the month of October, 2008 continuing to put pressure on prices.

This report is based upon sales information obtained from the Northern Michigan Multiple Listing Service for the months of October 2007 and October 2008.

Has the Real Estate Market Hit Bottom?

This intriguing question is the headline of Petoskey News Review Reporter Steve Zucker's recent article on the Northern Michigan real estate market.

While I wouldn't presume to know the answer to this question, some statistics I researched for this story show the extent to which our real estate market has weakened over the past several years.

Almost thirty percent of sales involving single family homes in the Petoskey, Harbor Springs, Boyne City and Charlevoix school districts from January 1, 2008 through September 1, 2008 were bank owned foreclosures. The number of foreclosure sales this year is up almost 500% from the same period in 2006, just two short years ago.

For the months of January through August of this year, there were 359 unit sales of homes and condominiums in the Petoskey, Harbor Springs, Boyne City and Charlevoix real estate markets, with the dollar volume of sales totalling $114,417,285, and a median sales price of $170,000.

While we may not know whether we have reached the bottom, it looks like our most recent residential market top was in 2004. From January through August of 2004, there were 536 unit sales of homes and condominiums in the Petoskey, Harbor Springs, Boyne City and Charlevoix real estate markets, with the dollar volume of sales totalling $150,604,789, and a median sales price of $192,200.

Comparing this year's sales numbers with 2004, our unit sales volume is down over 33%, our dollar volume of sales is down almost 25%, and our median sales price is down almost 12%.

According to some industry observers, subprime mortgage delinquencies appear to have peaked in December of 2007, and subprime mortgage foreclosure starts may have peaked in January of 2008. This could indicate that the flood of bank owned properties into our market may soon be nearing a peak. However, there is concern that we have not yet reached a peak in Alt-A mortgage delinquencies.

I don't beleive that we will see a meaningful improvement in our local real estate market until the overhang of bank owned properties works its way through the system, which is currently in progress. However, with so much bad news already behind us, I am cautiously optimistic that we are beginning to see some light at the end of the tunnel. Hopefully it isn't a freight train!

Petoskey Real Estate Sales 1st Half 2008

Petoskey residential real estate sales volume actually increased year over year in the first half of 2008, from 106 unit sales of homes and condos in the first half of 2007 to 120 unit sales in the first half of 2008.

In addition to a 13% increase in unit volume, the dollar volume of 1st half residential sales in the Petoskey School District increased significantly from $34,064,331 in 2007 to $47,001,605 in 2008, an increase of almost 38%.

The average sale price for a Petoskey home during the first half of 2008 was $391,680, compared to $318,358 during the first half of 2007, while the median sales price decreased slightly, from $183,000 in 2007 to $180,500 in 2008. Days on the market for those properties which sold during the first half of the year increased significantly, from 179 days on market in 2007 to 277 days on market in 2008.

Harbor Springs Real Estate Market Posts Weakest Numbers in Recent History

Harbor Springs real estate market activity plummeted in 2007, with unit sales and total dollar volume of single family residential transactions posting lows not seen since at least prior to 2001, the last year for which sales statistics are available through the Northern Michigan Multiple Listing Service's computerized database.

There were 118 sales of Harbor Springs homes and Harbor Springs condominiums in 2007, defined as sales of properties located within the Harbor Springs School District. The total dollar volume of those sales was $50,296,695. This compares with 147 sales last year, and a record total dollar volume of $64,669,046. Unit sales volume was off almost 20% from 2006 to 2007, while total dollar volume was off almost 23%.

The total dollar volume of sales was the lowest in recent history. The next lowest total was posted in 2001, the last year for which computerized data is available. In 2001, there were 188 sales with a total dollar volume of $52,825,456. Sales in 2001 were impacted by the terrorist attacks on 9/11/2001.

On a brighter note, the median sales price declined only modestly to $261,500, from $267,500 in 2006 and $269,000 in 2005. The median sales price in 2001 was $225,000.

Note: Based on information from the Northern Michigan Multiple Listing Service for the period from January 1, 2001 - December 31, 2007.

Grand Traverse County Construction Spending Down

The Traverse City Record Eagle is reporting that construction spending in Grand Traverse County slumped to $152.6 million in 2007, the lowest amount in more than seven years.

The article also paints a bleak picture for 2008. A representative from Traverse City based Comstock Construction Co. indicates that their business was "pretty static" from 2006 to 2007, but that they are down approximately fifty percent from a record year for construction in 2004. Comstock Construction Co.'s workforce has shrunk from 140 emplyees a few years ago to 60 workers last year.

Petoskey Real Estate Market Year End Report

Not surprisingly, Petoskey residential real estate sales volume decreased in 2007 from 2006. Unit sales of homes and condominiums in the Petoskey School District decreased to 255 units from 282 units, a decline of over 9%. Sales by dollar volume also fell, from $98,896,350 in 2006 to $82,476,049 in 2007, a decline of more than 16%.

Despite the decline in sales activity for Petoskey homes and condominiums, the median Petoskey home price actually increased by just under 1%, from $188,500 in 2006 to $190,000 in 2007. Average days on market was almost unchanged, from 200 days in 2006 to 199 days in 2007 for those homes which sold. The average price paid for a Petoskey home dropped from $350,696 in 2006 to $323,435 in 2007.

Note: Based on information obtained from the Northern Michigan Multiple Listing Service for the period from January 1, 2006 - December 31, 2007.

Petoskey Homes - October Swoon

There is blood in the streets! There is carnage in our local real estate market! If you are a buyer, this could be a great thing! Sorry all you sellers, this is not good news for you. If you don't need to sell right now, just disregard this blog and check back to see how the market is doing in a year or two.

In October of 2007, twenty-four single family residences (homes and condominiums) sold, compared to thirty-three sales in October of 2006, a decline of over 27%. Total dollar volume of sales in October of 2007 was $7,715,200, compared to $10,749,375 in October of 2006, a decline of over 28% year to year. The median home price fell from $199,900 to $188,450, a decline of almost 6%.

As of November 7, 2007, there are 569 Petoskey homes for sale (including condominiums) in the Petoskey School District. With twenty-four sales last month, the monthly absorption rate is 4.2% of available inventory. We currently have just under a two year supply of homes on the market!

In my opinion, this is great news for real estate buyers and investors. Although it may be impossible to predict a bottom, these difficult market conditions are producing a number of attractive buying opportunities right now. Are you a bargain shopper? This may be a good time to start looking, if you are possibly interested in purchasing a Northern Michigan property.

I am putting my money where my mouth is. I recently cashed in on some stock market gains and just purchased a commercial condominium unit. I am also preparing to write an offer on a vacant lot for my own investment portfolio. I am trying to follow the sagest investment advice ever given--buy low and sell high.

If you are interested in learning more about investing in the Northern Michigan real estate market, please feel free to give us a call toll free at (877) 228-9664. We look forward to the opportunity to be of service.

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Petoskey Real Estate Market Slides in Third Quarter

The Petoskey real estate market took it on the chin in the Third Quarter of 2007, with both sales and sale prices of Petoskey homes and condominiums broadly lower compared to 2006.

The number of single family residence sold in the Petoskey School District in the quarter declined 13%, from 85 in 2006 to 74 in 2007. The total dollar volume from sales of Petoskey condominiums and homes in the quarter sank over 24%, from over $30 million in 2006 to $22.8 million in 2007. The median home price declined precipitously, from $237,000 in the Third Quarter of 2006 to $187,225 in the Third Quarter of 2007, a decline of over 21%.

The declines in the third quarter reflect the weakness in both the state and local economies. In addition to weak demand, increased inventory and the rising number of foreclosures are taking their toll on prices. The figures point to the fact that this is a strong buyer's market. If you are in the market for a Petoskey home or Petoskey real estate, now may be a good time to consider either purchasing or trading up, if you are one of the lucky few in a position to do so.

Petoskey Real Estate Market Report - 1st Half 2007

Note: Based upon information obtained from the Northern Michigan Multiple Listing Service for the Periods of Time from January - June, 2001-2007.
Copyright 2007 - Buyer's Broker of Northern Michigan, LLC

Petoskey Real Estate Market Report - 1st Half 2007

Note: Based upon information obtained from the Northern Michigan Multiple Listing Service for the Periods of Time from January - June, 2001-2007.
Copyright 2007 - Buyer's Broker of Northern Michigan, LLC

Petoskey Real Estate Sales Steady in 1st Quarter

Despite the seemingly poor state and local economies, sales of Petoskey homes and real estate continued to chug along in the 1st Quarter of 2007. The number of residential sales, including both Petoskey homes and condominiums, dropped only slightly in the 1st Quarter, from 49 sales in 2006 to 47 sales in 2007. This compares to only 40 sales in the 1st Quarter of 2005 and 53 sales in the 1st Quarter of 2004.

While unit sales volume was down only slightly, the total dollar volume of residential sales was down 13%, from $17.07 million in the 1st Quarter of 2006 to $14.86 million in the 1st Quarter of this year. Despite being down from last year's numbers, this Quarter's total dollar volume far exceeded the $9.43 million posted in the 1st Quarter of 2005, and also exceeded the $13.35 million posted in the 1st Quarter of 2004.

On a bright note, the median sales price of a Petoskey home rebounded to $180,000 in the 1st Quarter, up 11% from the $162,000 median sales price in the 1st Quarter of 2006. This compares to a median sales price of $183,750 in the 1st Quarter of 2005, and $180,000 in the 1st Quarter of 2004.

Note: Based upon information obtained from the Northern Michigan Multiple Listing Service for the periods from January 1 - March 31, 2004-07.

Copyright 2007 - Buyer's Broker of Northern Michigan, LLC

Boyne City Real Estate - 2006 Market Statistics

Boyne City residential real estate sales volume plummeted in 2006 from the prior year, as did both the median and average home price. Unit sales of homes and condominiums in the Boyne City School District declined almost 20%, from 137 units in 2005 to 110 units in 2006. Sales by dollar volume decreased to $26,201,917 in 2006, from $36,906,222 in 2005, a whopping decline of almost 30%.

The median Boyne City home price dropped significantly in 2006 to $127,750, from $163,900 in the prior year. The average home price declined by 12%, from $269,388 in 2005 to $238,199 in 2006. Of those homes which did sell, the average days on market (DOM) increased significantly, from 149 DOM in 2005 to 200 DOM in 2006.

Note: Based on information obtained from the Northern Michigan Multiple Listing Service for the period from January 1, 2005 - December 31, 2006.

Charlevoix Real Estate and Homes - 2006 Sales Summary

Charlevoix residential real estate sales volume declined significantly in 2006 from 2005. Unit sales of homes and condominiums in the Charlevoix School District decreased 17.5%, from 166 units in 2005 to 137 units in 2006. Sales by dollar volume decreased to $40,002,030 in 2006, from $44,830,895 in 2005, a decrease of 10.8%.

The median Charlevoix home price dropped by 2.2%, from $180,000 to $176,000. Of those homes which sold, the average days on market decreased slightly to 225 days in 2006, from 228 days in 2005, while the average home price actually increased from $270,066 in 2005 to $291,986 in 2006.

Note: Based on information obtained from the Northern Michigan Multiple Listing Service for the period from January 1, 2005 - December 31, 2006.

Petoskey Real Estate and Homes - 2006 Sales Summary

Petoskey residential real estate sales volume actually increased in 2006 from 2005. Unit sales of homes and condominiums in the Petoskey School District increased to 282 units from 273 units, an improvement of approximately 3.3%. Sales by dollar volume increased to $98,806,750 in 2006 from $80,207,165 in 2005, an increase of 23.1%.

Despite the increase in sales activity, the median Petoskey home price dropped by 4.5%, from $197,090 to $188,500. Of those homes which sold, the average days on market increased to 200 days in 2006 from 190 days in 2005. The average price of a home increased significantly, from $293,799 in 2005 to $350,379 in 2006.

Note: Based on information obtained from the Northern Michigan Multiple Listing Service for the period from January 1, 2005 - December 31, 2006.